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Market MapWashingtonCowlitz

Cowlitz County

WashingtonPopulation: 110,621
44
/100
Avoid
#660 of 1,000 counties
#23 in Washington (39 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs Research·Independent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated May 18, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$421,394
Median Home Price
80% above national median
$1,436/mo
Median Rent
5% below national median
4.09%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 92% nationally
-$1,276
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $1,436/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$316,045-$724/mo3.5%-11.9%
Median
typical MLS deal
$421,394-$1,276/mo2.7%-15.8%
125% of median
newer / premium
$526,742-$1,828/mo2.1%-18.1%

Price History

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$421,394
Down Payment (20%)$84,279
Loan Amount$337,115
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,436
Monthly P&I-$2,209
Est. Expenses (35%)-$503
Net Cash Flow-$1,276/mo
2.7%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-15.8%
Cash-on-Cash Return
4.09%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 2.7% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Run Full AnalysisTry House Hack Strategy

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
44/100
44
Cash Flow(30%)
31/100

Based on 4.09% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
57/100

Based on 0.7% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
40/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Below-average rent-to-price ratio (4.09%)
  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$1,276/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 2.7% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
110,621
Median Income
—
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
—
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
  • −You want a market with broad institutional consensus on fundamentals

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
SkagitWA
45$570,386$2,0684.35%HoldView
ClallamWA
45$486,379$1,8194.49%HoldView
CurrentCowlitzWA
44$421,394$1,4364.09%Avoid
SpokaneWA
44$412,282$1,5104.39%AvoidView
PierceWA
42$555,177$1,9574.23%AvoidView
ClarkWA
42$537,646$1,8984.24%AvoidView

The Bottom Line

AvoidCowlitz may be challenging for traditional rentals. High prices or low rents make cash flow difficult.

Cowlitz County in Washington scores 44/100, ranking #660 of 1,000 US counties (top 87%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $1276/month; the 4.09% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-1,276/mo
Cap Rate
2.7%
Cash-on-Cash
-15.8%

Related markets

Markets like Cowlitz with stronger cash flow

  • Clallam County for cash-flow rentals
  • Spokane County for cash-flow rentals
  • Skagit County for cash-flow rentals

Cheaper alternatives to Cowlitz

  • Spokane County, lower entry price

Head-to-head comparisons

  • Cowlitz vs Spokane for rentals
  • Cowlitz vs Skagit for rentals
  • Cowlitz vs Clallam for rentals
All counties in Washington →

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