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Market MapTennesseeSumner

Sumner County

TennesseePopulation: 196,845Nashville, TN Metro
45
/100
Hold
#0 of 0 counties
#73 in Tennessee (95 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs Research·Independent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated May 18, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$446,103
Median Home Price
0% below national median
$1,680/mo
Median Rent
0% below national median
4.52%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 50% nationally
-$1,247
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $1,680/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$334,577-$662/mo3.9%-10.3%
Median
typical MLS deal
$446,103-$1,247/mo2.9%-14.6%
125% of median
newer / premium
$557,628-$1,831/mo2.4%-17.1%

Price History

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$446,103
Down Payment (20%)$89,221
Loan Amount$356,882
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,680
Monthly P&I-$2,339
Est. Expenses (35%)-$588
Net Cash Flow-$1,247/mo
2.9%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-14.6%
Cash-on-Cash Return
4.52%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 2.9% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Run Full AnalysisTry House Hack Strategy

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
45/100
45
Cash Flow(30%)
38/100

Based on 4.52% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
54/100

Based on 0.4% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
36/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$1,247/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 2.9% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
  • -High price-to-income ratio makes financing challenging

Economic Indicators

Population
196,845
Median Income
—
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
—
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
  • −You rely on FHA-style financing: prices are stretched relative to local incomes

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
RheaTN
50$261,404$9554.38%HoldView
HamiltonTN
50$347,463$1,5005.18%HoldView
StewartTN
48$230,942Est. pending—HoldView
WilsonTN
48$492,832$1,8744.56%HoldView
CurrentSumnerTN
45$446,103$1,6804.52%Hold
DavidsonTN
44$429,292$1,7804.97%AvoidView

The Bottom Line

HoldSumner is a neutral market. Consider house hacking or targeting below-market deals.

Sumner County in Tennessee scores 45/100, ranking #0 of 0 US counties (top 50%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $1247/month; the 4.52% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-1,247/mo
Cap Rate
2.9%
Cash-on-Cash
-14.6%

Related markets

Markets like Sumner with stronger cash flow

  • Hamilton County for cash-flow rentals
  • Davidson County for cash-flow rentals
  • Wilson County for cash-flow rentals

Cheaper alternatives to Sumner

  • Stewart County, lower entry price
  • Rhea County, lower entry price
  • Hamilton County, lower entry price

Head-to-head comparisons

  • Sumner vs Davidson for rentals
  • Sumner vs Stewart for rentals
  • Sumner vs Wilson for rentals
All counties in Tennessee →

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