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Market MapCaliforniaTuolumne

Tuolumne County

CaliforniaPopulation: 54,993
42
/100
Avoid
#689 of 1,000 counties
#28 in California (58 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs Research·Independent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated May 11, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$388,488
Median Home Price
66% above national median
$1,525/mo
Median Rent
1% above national median
4.71%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 79% nationally
-$1,045
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $1,525/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$291,366-$536/mo4.1%-9.6%
Median
typical MLS deal
$388,488-$1,045/mo3.1%-14.0%
125% of median
newer / premium
$485,610-$1,555/mo2.5%-16.7%

Price History

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$388,488
Down Payment (20%)$77,698
Loan Amount$310,790
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,525
Monthly P&I-$2,036
Est. Expenses (35%)-$534
Net Cash Flow-$1,045/mo
3.1%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-14.0%
Cash-on-Cash Return
4.71%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 3.1% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Run Full AnalysisTry House Hack Strategy

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
42/100
42
Cash Flow(30%)
41/100

Based on 4.71% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
30/100

Based on -4.0% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
47/100

Price-to-income ratio of 5.5x. Lower ratios indicate more affordable markets.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Below-average rent-to-price ratio (4.71%)
  • -Declining home values (-4.0% YoY)
  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$1,045/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 3.1% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
54,993
Median Income
$70,432
vs $57,059 national est.
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
5.5x
Less affordable

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
  • −You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year
  • −You want a market with broad institutional consensus on fundamentals

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
San BernardinoCA
43$541,638$2,4405.41%AvoidView
San JoaquinCA
43$523,017$2,3565.41%AvoidView
CurrentTuolumneCA
42$388,488$1,5254.71%Avoid
RiversideCA
42$598,126$2,5545.12%AvoidView
SacramentoCA
42$518,553$2,1494.97%AvoidView
El DoradoCA
42$636,684$2,3894.50%AvoidView

The Bottom Line

AvoidTuolumne may be challenging for traditional rentals. High prices or low rents make cash flow difficult.

Tuolumne County in California scores 42/100, ranking #689 of 1,000 US counties (top 91%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $1045/month; the 4.71% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-1,045/mo
Cap Rate
3.1%
Cash-on-Cash
-14.0%

Related markets

Markets like Tuolumne with stronger cash flow

  • San Bernardino County for cash-flow rentals
  • San Joaquin County for cash-flow rentals
  • Riverside County for cash-flow rentals

Head-to-head comparisons

  • Tuolumne vs Riverside for rentals
  • Tuolumne vs Sacramento for rentals
  • Tuolumne vs El Dorado for rentals
All counties in California →

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