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Market MapTexasBowie

Bowie County

TexasPopulation: 92,747
62
/100
Hold
#272 of 1,000 counties
#49 in Texas (243 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs Research·Independent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated May 11, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$190,281
Median Home Price
19% below national median
$1,164/mo
Median Rent
23% below national median
7.34%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 17% nationally
-$241
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $1,164/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$142,711+$9/mo6.4%+0.3%
Median
typical MLS deal
$190,281-$241/mo4.8%-6.6%
125% of median
newer / premium
$237,851-$490/mo3.8%-10.8%

Price History

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$190,281
Down Payment (20%)$38,056
Loan Amount$152,225
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,164
Monthly P&I-$997
Est. Expenses (35%)-$407
Net Cash Flow-$241/mo
4.8%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-6.6%
Cash-on-Cash Return
7.34%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 4.8% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Run Full AnalysisTry House Hack Strategy

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
62/100
62
Cash Flow(30%)
73/100

Based on 7.34% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
44/100

Based on -1.1% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
80/100

Price-to-income ratio of 3.4x. Lower ratios indicate more affordable markets.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Above-average rent-to-price ratio (7.34%)
  • +Affordable relative to local incomes
  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Declining home values (-1.1% YoY)
  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$241/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 4.8% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
92,747
Median Income
$56,628
vs $57,059 national est.
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
3.4x
Moderately affordable

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
  • +Value-add operators who can buy below median and force rent up
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
  • −You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
AngelinaTX
63$196,890$1,1346.91%BuyView
HarrisonTX
63$209,474$1,3087.49%BuyView
CurrentBowieTX
62$190,281$1,1647.34%Buy
San PatricioTX
62$197,943$1,3127.95%BuyView
CarsonTX
61$156,104Est. pending—BuyView
CoryellTX
61$220,925$1,2866.99%BuyView

The Bottom Line

HoldBowie scores well overall, but a typical leveraged buy-and-hold loses $241/mo at current rates. Consider house hacking, value-add, or all-cash; otherwise a worse score with positive cash flow may be the better deal.

Bowie County in Texas scores 62/100, ranking #272 of 1,000 US counties (top 36%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $241/month; the 7.34% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-241/mo
Cap Rate
4.8%
Cash-on-Cash
-6.6%

Related markets

Markets like Bowie with stronger cash flow

  • San Patricio County for cash-flow rentals
  • Harrison County for cash-flow rentals
  • Coryell County for cash-flow rentals

Cheaper alternatives to Bowie

  • Carson County, lower entry price

Head-to-head comparisons

  • Bowie vs San Patricio for rentals
  • Bowie vs Carson for rentals
  • Bowie vs Angelina for rentals
All counties in Texas →

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