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Market MapNorth CarolinaCaldwell

Caldwell County

North CarolinaPopulation: 80,716
55
/100
Hold
#459 of 1,000 counties
#36 in North Carolina (100 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs Research·Independent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated May 11, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$237,081
Median Home Price
1% above national median
$1,195/mo
Median Rent
21% below national median
6.05%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 47% nationally
-$466
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $1,195/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$177,810-$155/mo5.2%-4.5%
Median
typical MLS deal
$237,081-$466/mo3.9%-10.3%
125% of median
newer / premium
$296,351-$776/mo3.1%-13.7%

Price History

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$237,081
Down Payment (20%)$47,416
Loan Amount$189,665
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,195
Monthly P&I-$1,243
Est. Expenses (35%)-$418
Net Cash Flow-$466/mo
3.9%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-10.3%
Cash-on-Cash Return
6.05%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 3.9% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Run Full AnalysisTry House Hack Strategy

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
55/100
55
Cash Flow(30%)
60/100

Based on 6.05% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
48/100

Based on -0.5% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
62/100

Price-to-income ratio of 4.5x. Lower ratios indicate more affordable markets.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Declining home values (-0.5% YoY)
  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$466/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 3.9% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
80,716
Median Income
$52,362
vs $57,059 national est.
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
4.5x
Moderately affordable

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
  • −You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
BurkeNC
56$246,801Est. pending—HoldView
LincolnNC
56$396,190$1,6905.12%HoldView
CurrentCaldwellNC
55$237,081$1,1956.05%Hold
FranklinNC
55$354,406$1,7826.03%HoldView
JohnstonNC
55$338,752$1,8106.41%HoldView
TyrrellNC
54$162,023Est. pending—HoldView

The Bottom Line

HoldCaldwell is a neutral market. Consider house hacking or targeting below-market deals.

Caldwell County in North Carolina scores 55/100, ranking #459 of 1,000 US counties (top 61%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $466/month; the 6.05% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-466/mo
Cap Rate
3.9%
Cash-on-Cash
-10.3%

Related markets

Markets like Caldwell with stronger cash flow

  • Johnston County for cash-flow rentals
  • Franklin County for cash-flow rentals
  • Lincoln County for cash-flow rentals

Cheaper alternatives to Caldwell

  • Tyrrell County, lower entry price

Head-to-head comparisons

  • Caldwell vs Franklin for rentals
  • Caldwell vs Johnston for rentals
  • Caldwell vs Tyrrell for rentals
All counties in North Carolina →

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