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Market MapMontanaDawson

Dawson County

MontanaPopulation: 8,915
59
/100
Hold
#360 of 1,000 counties
#22 in Montana (56 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs Research·Independent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated January 1, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$185,301
Median Home Price
21% below national median
$11,003/mo
Est. Rent
Based on regional data
5.94%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Estimated from price data
+$0
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Price History

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
59/100
59
Cash Flow(30%)
0/100

Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.

Appreciation(25%)
43/100

Based on -1.5% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
89/100

Price-to-income ratio of 2.7x. Lower ratios indicate more affordable markets.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Affordable relative to local incomes

Challenges

  • -Declining home values (-1.5% YoY)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
  • -Limited rent data (estimates used)

Economic Indicators

Population
8,915
Median Income
$68,168
vs $57,059 national est.
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
2.7x
Very affordable

Who this market fits

Skip if
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
  • −You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
StillwaterMT
60$437,730Est. pending—BuyView
CurrentDawsonMT
59$185,301Est. pending—Hold
ChouteauMT
59$285,884Est. pending—HoldView
Golden ValleyMT
59$202,891Est. pending—HoldView
PhillipsMT
59$214,980Est. pending—HoldView
Big HornMT
58$204,287Est. pending—HoldView

The Bottom Line

HoldDawson is a neutral market.

Dawson County in Montana scores 59/100, ranking #360 of 1,000 US counties (top 48%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.

Monthly Cash Flow
+$0/mo
Cap Rate
0.0%
Cash-on-Cash
0.0%

Related markets

Head-to-head comparisons

  • Dawson vs Chouteau for rentals
  • Dawson vs Golden Valley for rentals
  • Dawson vs Phillips for rentals
All counties in Montana →

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