Marion County sits at a gross rent-to-price ratio of 7.21%, which puts it near the upper end of what you typically see in Midwestern urban markets and signals genuine cash-flow potential at the asset level. The 4.68% cap rate confirms there is real yield here, though it falls short of the 5-6% threshold most investors want before leverage enters the picture. That tension shows up clearly in the leveraged numbers: at 6.85% financing with 20% down, the model produces a monthly mortgage of $1,203 against estimated rent of $1,379, leaving only $176 before expenses. After $483 in estimated monthly expenses, the position bleeds roughly $307 per month, yielding a cash-on-cash return of negative 6.98%. Year-over-year home price appreciation of 0.36% is effectively flat in real terms, so Marion is not a market where you bank on price gains to paper over negative carry. The affordability index of 72 and median income of $59,504 are consistent with a workforce-renter base, not a luxury or high-income demographic. The overall score of 62 out of 100, with a cash-flow subscore of 72 and appreciation subscore of 54, confirms the market's identity: it leans toward yield, but leverage at current rates is the obstacle.
The investor who fits Marion best is a value-add operator or an all-cash buyer, not a conventional leveraged buy-and-hold at today's rates. The 7.21% gross yield means that anyone who can acquire below the median, reduce vacancy through repositioning, or force income through light renovation can potentially bridge the gap between the 4.68% cap rate and their cost of capital. A cash buyer ignores the $1,203 mortgage entirely and works with the cap rate directly, which at 4.68% on a $229,560 asset is not spectacular but is real. Appreciation buyers have little to work with here, given 0.36% price growth. The affordability score of 72 does suggest the tenant pool is large and price-sensitive, which supports occupancy in a downturn but also puts a ceiling on rent growth.
The $216 per month in combined taxes and insurance deserves attention in your underwrite. Indiana's state-average effective property tax rate of 0.85% is flagged as normal, and that is accurate, it is neither a headwind nor a tailwind compared to the national median. At $1,951 annually, property tax is a manageable line item, not a deal-breaker, but in a market where gross cash flow before mortgage is only $896 per month, every cost center matters. The insurance component adds $643 annually, or roughly $54 per month. Combined, taxes and insurance consume about $216 of that $896, leaving $680 to cover mortgage, maintenance, management, and vacancy before you see a dollar of net income. That math works at lower leverage or lower purchase prices; it does not work at the median price with a 6.85% mortgage. The caveat in the data is worth repeating: 0.85% is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024, and Marion County's actual rate may differ, so pull the county assessor's figures before closing on any specific property.
The risk profile in Marion is largely a function of its urban concentration. At 971,737 people, this is Indianapolis proper, a single large metro market. Concentration in one city means your portfolio performance tracks that city's economic cycle closely with limited geographic diversification within the county. The stability score of 50 out of 100 is the weakest dimension in the scorecard and warrants scrutiny. It does not mean the market is collapsing, but it suggests the data does not support high confidence in rent-level consistency over time. A median income of $59,504 is not high enough to absorb significant rent increases without pushing tenants out, which caps your upside on the income side.
Comparing Marion to its neighbors makes the yield advantage clear. Boone County carries a median home price of $408,148 with a rent-to-price ratio of just 5.22%, significantly worse for cash-flow investors. Putnam, Floyd, and Elkhart all cluster between 5.0% and 5.4% in gross yield, each materially below Marion's 7.21%. Allen County in Fort Wayne is the closest competitor at 5.72%, still a full 150 basis points behind Marion. All five neighbors share the same overall score of 62 or 63, so there is no quality gap, only a yield gap that favors Marion. An investor should choose Marion over any of these neighbors if the primary objective is maximizing gross yield and building density in a large tenant pool. An investor should choose Boone County if the objective is appreciation or a higher-income tenant base, accepting that cash-flow math will be harder. Marion wins on yield; it loses on the financing math at current rates, and that is an argument for patient acquisition below median or alternative capital structures, not for avoiding the county entirely.
| Scenario | Purchase price | Monthly cash flow | Cap rate | Cash-on-cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|
75% of median value-add or distressed | $172,170 | -$7/mo | 6.2% | -0.2% |
Median typical MLS deal | $229,560 | -$307/mo | 4.7% | -7.0% |
125% of median newer / premium | $286,950 | -$608/mo | 3.8% | -11.1% |
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.
Based on 7.21% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.
Based on 0.4% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Price-to-income ratio of 3.9x. Lower ratios indicate more affordable markets.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Marion County in Indiana scores 62/100, ranking #272 of 1,000 US counties (top 36%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $307/month; the 7.21% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.
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