Hamilton County sits at a 3.05% cap rate and a gross rent-to-price ratio of 0.047, which translates practically to negative cash flow from day one at current financing. Running a standard underwrite at the provided numbers, a buyer putting 20% down ($91,913) on the median-priced home at $459,567 faces a monthly mortgage of $2,409, estimated expenses of $629, and median rent of $1,797.50, producing a cash-flow deficit of $1,241 per month and a cash-on-cash return of -14.09% at a 6.85% rate. That is not a rounding error or a soft assumption, it is structural: the price level has simply outrun the rent level. The appreciation score of 74 out of 100 and 2.42% year-over-year price growth at least confirm that something is happening on the asset side, but an investor leaning on appreciation to bail out a deeply negative carry position is underwriting hope, not real estate.
This market belongs to the appreciation buyer, not the cash-flow buyer or the value-add operator. The median household income of $114,866 and an affordability index of 70 signal a high-income resident base that supports premium rents and low vacancy risk, but does not close the gap between what tenants will pay and what the asset costs at today's rates. Value-add is equally difficult to pencil: even if a renovation pushed rent 15-20% above the current median, the math at a 3.05% going-in cap rate stays well underwater on a leveraged basis. The investor who belongs here is someone with a long hold horizon, low leverage or cash purchase capacity, and a thesis that 2.42% annual appreciation compounds meaningfully in a county where incomes already sit $40,000 or more above state norms.
No economic anchor or employer data was provided for this county, so specific commentary on job concentration or institutional demand drivers is not available from this dataset.
The combined monthly tax and insurance burden of $433 (using a state-average effective property tax rate of 0.85% per Tax Foundation 2024 data, noting that actual county and township rates can differ) is already embedded in the $629 expense estimate, so it is not an additional shock, but it is worth confirming at the parcel level before closing, since township assessments in high-value suburban counties can diverge meaningfully from the state average. At 0.85%, the flag is "normal," neither a tailwind worth celebrating nor a problem requiring special attention in the underwrite.
The primary risk in Hamilton County is price-to-rent compression with no near-term catalyst to close it. At a national percentile of 45 and a state rank of 82 out of 92 counties, this is among the weakest-ranked markets in Indiana on investment metrics despite being one of the wealthiest. Concentration risk is real: the median home price of $459,567 means most rental inventory sits in a price band where institutional competition is thin but individual landlords face a large dollar exposure per door and limited margin for error on vacancy or capital expenditure. There is no vacancy or regulatory data in this dataset to draw further conclusions.
Against its neighbors, Hamilton is the most expensive market in the comparison set by a wide margin and has the worst rent-to-price ratio. Hendricks County offers a ratio of 0.062 at a median price of $334,632, meaning a buyer gets meaningfully better gross yield at $125,000 less per door, with a similar overall score of 61 versus Hamilton's 57. Tippecanoe County is the outlier on yield, with a ratio of 0.063 and a median price of $288,668, and it scores 61 overall, making it the most cash-flow-accessible market in the comparison group. Porter County sits in the middle at 0.055 and $320,190. An investor should choose Hamilton over these neighbors only when they have specific conviction on the local appreciation thesis, require the tenant quality that the $114,866 income base supports, or are prioritizing capital preservation in a high-income market over current-period returns. If the primary objective is cash flow or a more defensible entry basis, every county in the neighbor set outperforms Hamilton on gross yield, and most do so at acquisition prices 30-40% lower.
| Scenario | Purchase price | Monthly cash flow | Cap rate | Cash-on-cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|
75% of median value-add or distressed | $344,675 | -$638/mo | 4.1% | -9.7% |
Median typical MLS deal | $459,567 | -$1,241/mo | 3.0% | -14.1% |
125% of median newer / premium | $574,459 | -$1,843/mo | 2.4% | -16.7% |
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.
Based on 4.69% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.
Based on 2.4% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Price-to-income ratio of 4.0x. Lower ratios indicate more affordable markets.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Hamilton County in Indiana scores 57/100, ranking #414 of 1,000 US counties (top 55%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $1241/month; the 4.69% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.
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