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Market MapIllinoisMadison

Madison County

IllinoisPopulation: 265,512St. Louis, MO Metro
73
/100
Hold
#61 of 1,000 counties
#48 in Illinois (102 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs Research·Independent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated May 18, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$196,607
Median Home Price
16% below national median
$1,138/mo
Median Rent
25% below national median
6.95%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 25% nationally
-$291
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $1,138/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$147,456-$33/mo6.0%-1.2%
Median
typical MLS deal
$196,607-$291/mo4.5%-7.7%
125% of median
newer / premium
$245,759-$548/mo3.6%-11.6%

Price History

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$196,607
Down Payment (20%)$39,321
Loan Amount$157,286
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,138
Monthly P&I-$1,031
Est. Expenses (35%)-$398
Net Cash Flow-$291/mo
4.5%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-7.7%
Cash-on-Cash Return
6.95%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 4.5% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Run Full AnalysisTry House Hack Strategy

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
73/100
73
Cash Flow(30%)
69/100

Based on 6.95% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
88/100

Based on 5.7% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
88/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Above-average rent-to-price ratio (6.95%)
  • +Strong price appreciation (+5.7% YoY)
  • +Affordable relative to local incomes
  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$291/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 4.5% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
265,512
Median Income
—
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
—
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +Appreciation buyers: YoY growth is meaningfully above the long-run average
  • +Patient holders willing to accept negative carry for equity gains
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
  • +Institutional or out-of-state investors who target appreciation markets
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
TazewellIL
74$178,135$1,1257.58%BuyView
CurrentMadisonIL
73$196,607$1,1386.95%Buy
La SalleIL
73$184,104$1,1127.25%BuyView
WoodfordIL
72$220,926Est. pending—BuyView
WilliamsonIL
72$152,606$1,0678.39%BuyView
KankakeeIL
72$211,066$1,3097.44%BuyView

The Bottom Line

HoldMadison scores well overall, but a typical leveraged buy-and-hold loses $291/mo at current rates. Consider house hacking, value-add, or all-cash; otherwise a worse score with positive cash flow may be the better deal.

Madison County in Illinois scores 73/100, ranking #61 of 1,000 US counties (top 8%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $291/month; the 6.95% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-291/mo
Cap Rate
4.5%
Cash-on-Cash
-7.7%

Related markets

Markets like Madison with stronger cash flow

  • Williamson County for cash-flow rentals
  • Tazewell County for cash-flow rentals
  • Kankakee County for cash-flow rentals

Cheaper alternatives to Madison

  • Williamson County, lower entry price
  • Tazewell County, lower entry price
  • La Salle County, lower entry price

Head-to-head comparisons

  • Madison vs La Salle for rentals
  • Madison vs Woodford for rentals
  • Madison vs Williamson for rentals
All counties in Illinois →

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