Virginia Beach City sits at a 3.61% cap rate and a gross rent-to-price ratio of 0.0554, which places it squarely in appreciation territory rather than cash-flow country. At a $426,941 median purchase price and $1,973 median rent, the math on a leveraged acquisition is unforgiving: a 20% down payment of $85,388 leaves you with a $2,238 monthly mortgage at 6.85%, and after $690 in estimated expenses the model spits out negative $955 per month in cash flow, a cash-on-cash return of -11.67%. That is not a rounding error. You are paying a meaningful premium over what the rent roll will service, and the 2.82% year-over-year home price appreciation, while real, needs to sustain itself for years before it compensates for that monthly bleed.
The investor this market suits is one who is betting on long-run price appreciation in a coastal, amenity-rich market and who can absorb negative cash flow from other income or a larger down payment to reduce debt service. A cash-flow buyer at conventional leverage has almost no viable path here unless they are acquiring well below median, operating short-term rentals in a market that permits them, or finding value-add properties where forced appreciation closes the gap between the rent and the carry. An appreciation-oriented buyer with a five-plus-year horizon has more to work with: the appreciation score of 78 out of 100 and the 2.82% annual price gain suggest this market has been a reasonable store of value. The stability score of 50, however, signals that this is not a set-it-and-forget-it hold, and the affordability index of 57 means the existing tenant base is not flush, which limits how aggressively you can push rents.
Virginia Beach is home to one of the largest concentrations of military installations in the United States, and that structural fact matters enormously to a rental investor here. The presence of Naval Station Norfolk (nearby), Oceana Naval Air Station, and Joint Expeditionary Base Little Creek-Fort Story creates a baseline of transient renter demand that is largely recession-resistant, since military personnel relocate on orders regardless of economic cycles. That population tends to rent at or near market rate, often with BAH (basic allowance for housing) covering rent, which provides a degree of rent-collection reliability. A market this size, 457,900 people, with a defense-anchored economy is less exposed to single-employer concentration risk than a smaller market built around one private company, though it does carry political risk if base realignment ever shifts personnel counts.
Property tax and insurance carry here comes in at $374 per month combined, based on a state-average effective property tax rate of 0.82% and an insurance rate of 0.23%, producing annual estimates of $3,501 and $982, respectively. That rate carries a flag of "normal" and is not an outlier for Virginia, but at $374 per month it is still a meaningful line on any underwrite, particularly when cash flow is already deeply negative. The caveat matters: this is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024 data, and actual Virginia Beach city rates may differ. Pull the current city assessor rate before finalizing your numbers, because even a modest deviation on a $427,000 asset moves the monthly tax figure materially.
The primary risk here is the entry price relative to rent. Virginia Beach is not a distressed market offering asymmetric upside on underpriced assets; it is a market where buyers are paying for quality of place and military demand stability, and the rent roll has not kept pace with prices. That compression of gross yield to 5.5% at current prices means you have little margin for error on vacancy, capex timing, or rate environment changes. If interest rates stay elevated, negative leverage is a permanent feature, not a temporary condition to wait out. Regulatory risk around short-term rentals in a coastal city is also worth diligencing; if your underwrite depends on Airbnb-style income, confirm current city ordinances before closing.
Compared to its neighbors in this data set, Virginia Beach sits in a specific niche. Portsmouth City offers a rent-to-price ratio of 0.0744 versus Virginia Beach's 0.0554, at a median price of $255,109 and rent of $1,581, which means a cash-flow buyer gets meaningfully better yield for roughly 40% less capital deployed, even though the overall scores are identical at 59. Lynchburg City shows a 0.0643 ratio at a $239,431 median, another market where the numbers work better for a leveraged buy-and-hold operator. Frederick County and Winchester City are closer in price profile to Virginia Beach but still beat it on yield ratio. The case for choosing Virginia Beach over any of these neighbors rests almost entirely on the appreciation thesis and the military-tenant demand argument, not on current income. If you need cash flow to service debt today, Portsmouth or Lynchburg are the cleaner plays. If you are allocating capital for long-run price growth in a market with structural rental demand and you can carry the negative monthly number, Virginia Beach makes the argument.
| Scenario | Purchase price | Monthly cash flow | Cap rate | Cash-on-cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|
75% of median value-add or distressed | $320,206 | -$396/mo | 4.8% | -6.5% |
Median typical MLS deal | $426,941 | -$955/mo | 3.6% | -11.7% |
125% of median newer / premium | $533,676 | -$1,515/mo | 2.9% | -14.8% |
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.
Based on 5.54% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.
Based on 2.8% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Price-to-income ratio of 4.9x. Lower ratios indicate more affordable markets.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Virginia Beach City in Virginia scores 59/100, ranking #360 of 1,000 US counties (top 48%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $955/month; the 5.54% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.
Use our investment calculators to run detailed numbers on specific properties.