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Market MapVirginiaShenandoah

Shenandoah County

VirginiaPopulation: 44,337
48
/100
Hold
#590 of 1,000 counties
#110 in Virginia (133 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs Research·Independent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated May 11, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$341,883
Median Home Price
46% above national median
$1,361/mo
Median Rent
10% below national median
4.78%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 78% nationally
-$907
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $1,361/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$256,413-$459/mo4.1%-9.3%
Median
typical MLS deal
$341,883-$907/mo3.1%-13.8%
125% of median
newer / premium
$427,354-$1,355/mo2.5%-16.5%

Price History

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$341,883
Down Payment (20%)$68,377
Loan Amount$273,506
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,361
Monthly P&I-$1,792
Est. Expenses (35%)-$476
Net Cash Flow-$907/mo
3.1%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-13.8%
Cash-on-Cash Return
4.78%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 3.1% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Run Full AnalysisTry House Hack Strategy

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
48/100
48
Cash Flow(30%)
42/100

Based on 4.78% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
52/100

Based on 0.3% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
47/100

Price-to-income ratio of 5.5x. Lower ratios indicate more affordable markets.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Below-average rent-to-price ratio (4.78%)
  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$907/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 3.1% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
44,337
Median Income
$62,149
vs $57,059 national est.
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
5.5x
Less affordable

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
RappahannockVA
50$553,653Est. pending—HoldView
LoudounVA
49$778,995$2,6694.11%HoldView
CurrentShenandoahVA
48$341,883$1,3614.78%Hold
BuchananVA
47$74,741Est. pending—HoldView
BrunswickVA
47$130,410Est. pending—HoldView
Fairfax CityVA
46$755,224$2,4473.89%HoldView

The Bottom Line

HoldShenandoah is a neutral market. Consider house hacking or targeting below-market deals.

Shenandoah County in Virginia scores 48/100, ranking #590 of 1,000 US counties (top 78%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $907/month; the 4.78% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-907/mo
Cap Rate
3.1%
Cash-on-Cash
-13.8%

Related markets

Markets like Shenandoah with stronger cash flow

  • Loudoun County for cash-flow rentals
  • Fairfax City for cash-flow rentals

Cheaper alternatives to Shenandoah

  • Buchanan County, lower entry price
  • Brunswick County, lower entry price

Head-to-head comparisons

  • Shenandoah vs Buchanan for rentals
  • Shenandoah vs Brunswick for rentals
  • Shenandoah vs Loudoun for rentals
All counties in Virginia →

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