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Market MapVirginiaCaroline

Caroline County

VirginiaPopulation: 31,181
67
/100
Hold
#167 of 1,000 counties
#23 in Virginia (133 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs Research·Independent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated May 11, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$352,917
Median Home Price
51% above national median
$2,126/mo
Median Rent
41% above national median
7.23%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 19% nationally
-$468
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $2,126/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$264,687-$6/mo6.3%-0.1%
Median
typical MLS deal
$352,917-$468/mo4.7%-6.9%
125% of median
newer / premium
$441,146-$931/mo3.8%-11.0%

Price History

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$352,917
Down Payment (20%)$70,583
Loan Amount$282,334
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$2,126
Monthly P&I-$1,850
Est. Expenses (35%)-$744
Net Cash Flow-$468/mo
4.7%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-6.9%
Cash-on-Cash Return
7.23%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 4.7% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Run Full AnalysisTry House Hack Strategy

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
67/100
67
Cash Flow(30%)
72/100

Based on 7.23% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
76/100

Based on 2.6% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
67/100

Price-to-income ratio of 4.2x. Lower ratios indicate more affordable markets.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Above-average rent-to-price ratio (7.23%)
  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$468/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 4.7% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
31,181
Median Income
$83,562
vs $57,059 national est.
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
4.2x
Moderately affordable

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
  • +Value-add operators who can buy below median and force rent up
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
Franklin CityVA
70$224,286Est. pending—BuyView
CurrentCarolineVA
67$352,917$2,1267.23%Buy
Roanoke CityVA
67$215,833$1,2717.06%BuyView
RoanokeVA
64$325,167$1,5825.84%BuyView
MecklenburgVA
63$206,873$1,4438.37%BuyView
RockbridgeVA
63$316,023Est. pending—BuyView

The Bottom Line

HoldCaroline scores well overall, but a typical leveraged buy-and-hold loses $468/mo at current rates. Consider house hacking, value-add, or all-cash; otherwise a worse score with positive cash flow may be the better deal.

Caroline County in Virginia scores 67/100, ranking #167 of 1,000 US counties (top 22%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $468/month; the 7.23% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-468/mo
Cap Rate
4.7%
Cash-on-Cash
-6.9%

Related markets

Markets like Caroline with stronger cash flow

  • Mecklenburg County for cash-flow rentals
  • Roanoke City for cash-flow rentals
  • Roanoke County for cash-flow rentals

Cheaper alternatives to Caroline

  • Mecklenburg County, lower entry price
  • Roanoke City, lower entry price
  • Franklin City, lower entry price

Head-to-head comparisons

  • Caroline vs Roanoke City for rentals
  • Caroline vs Franklin City for rentals
  • Caroline vs Roanoke for rentals
All counties in Virginia →

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