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Market MapNorth DakotaWard

Ward County

North DakotaPopulation: 69,532
59
/100
Hold
#398 of 1,000 counties
#25 in North Dakota (43 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs Research·Independent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated June 29, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$280,811
Median Home Price
23% above national median
$1,087/mo
Median Rent
25% below national median
4.65%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 82% nationally
-$766
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $1,087/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$210,608-$398/mo4.0%-9.9%
Median
typical MLS deal
$280,811-$766/mo3.0%-14.2%
125% of median
newer / premium
$351,014-$1,134/mo2.4%-16.9%

Price History

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$280,811
Down Payment (20%)$56,162
Loan Amount$224,649
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,087
Monthly P&I-$1,472
Est. Expenses (35%)-$381
Net Cash Flow-$766/mo
3.0%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-14.2%
Cash-on-Cash Return
4.65%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 3.0% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Run Full AnalysisTry House Hack Strategy

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
59/100
59
Cash Flow(30%)
40/100

Based on 4.65% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
81/100

Based on 3.4% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
70/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Affordable relative to local incomes
  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Below-average rent-to-price ratio (4.65%)
  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$766/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 3.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
69,532
Median Income
—
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
—
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
RichlandND
60$219,459$8074.41%BuyView
BensonND
60$142,968Est. pending—BuyView
CurrentWardND
59$280,811$1,0874.65%Hold
StarkND
59$316,772$1,2504.73%HoldView
BurleighND
58$352,675$1,3074.45%HoldView
WalshND
58$162,406Est. pending—HoldView

The Bottom Line

HoldWard is a neutral market. Consider house hacking or targeting below-market deals.

Ward County in North Dakota scores 59/100, ranking #398 of 1,000 US counties (top 51%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $766/month; the 4.65% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-766/mo
Cap Rate
3.0%
Cash-on-Cash
-14.2%

Related markets

Markets like Ward with stronger cash flow

  • Stark County for cash-flow rentals
  • Burleigh County for cash-flow rentals
  • Richland County for cash-flow rentals

Cheaper alternatives to Ward

  • Benson County, lower entry price
  • Walsh County, lower entry price
  • Richland County, lower entry price

Head-to-head comparisons

  • Ward vs Stark for rentals
  • Ward vs Burleigh for rentals
  • Ward vs Richland for rentals
All counties in North Dakota →

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