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Market MapNew MexicoLea

Lea County

New MexicoPopulation: 73,103
70
/100
Hold
#114 of 1,000 counties
#1 in New Mexico (30 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs Research·Independent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated May 11, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$191,098
Median Home Price
18% below national median
$1,371/mo
Median Rent
9% below national median
8.61%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 5% nationally
-$111
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $1,371/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$143,324+$140/mo7.5%+5.1%
Median
typical MLS deal
$191,098-$111/mo5.6%-3.0%
125% of median
newer / premium
$238,873-$361/mo4.5%-7.9%

Price History

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$191,098
Down Payment (20%)$38,220
Loan Amount$152,878
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,371
Monthly P&I-$1,002
Est. Expenses (35%)-$480
Net Cash Flow-$111/mo
5.6%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-3.0%
Cash-on-Cash Return
8.61%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 5.6% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Run Full AnalysisTry House Hack Strategy

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
70/100
70
Cash Flow(30%)
86/100

Based on 8.61% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
56/100

Based on 0.6% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
86/100

Price-to-income ratio of 2.9x. Lower ratios indicate more affordable markets.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Above-average rent-to-price ratio (8.61%)
  • +Affordable relative to local incomes
  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 5.6% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
73,103
Median Income
$65,855
vs $57,059 national est.
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
2.9x
Very affordable

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
  • +Value-add operators who can buy below median and force rent up
  • +Institutional or out-of-state investors who target appreciation markets
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
CurrentLeaNM
70$191,098$1,3718.61%Buy
CibolaNM
68$154,549Est. pending—BuyView
RooseveltNM
66$141,276$9978.47%BuyView
San MiguelNM
65$257,118Est. pending—BuyView
OteroNM
64$227,246$1,4897.87%BuyView
ValenciaNM
64$304,037$1,9297.62%BuyView

The Bottom Line

HoldLea scores well overall, but a typical leveraged buy-and-hold loses $111/mo at current rates. Consider house hacking, value-add, or all-cash; otherwise a worse score with positive cash flow may be the better deal.

Lea County in New Mexico scores 70/100, ranking #114 of 1,000 US counties (top 15%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $111/month; the 8.61% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-111/mo
Cap Rate
5.6%
Cash-on-Cash
-3.0%

Related markets

Markets like Lea with stronger cash flow

  • Roosevelt County for cash-flow rentals
  • Otero County for cash-flow rentals
  • Valencia County for cash-flow rentals

Cheaper alternatives to Lea

  • Roosevelt County, lower entry price
  • Cibola County, lower entry price

Head-to-head comparisons

  • Lea vs Cibola for rentals
  • Lea vs Roosevelt for rentals
  • Lea vs San Miguel for rentals
All counties in New Mexico →

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