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Market MapMarylandCarroll

Carroll County

MarylandPopulation: 173,225
45
/100
Hold
#681 of 1,000 counties
#23 in Maryland (24 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs Research·Independent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated June 29, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$498,109
Median Home Price
117% above national median
$1,836/mo
Median Rent
27% above national median
4.42%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 87% nationally
-$1,418
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $1,836/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$373,582-$765/mo3.8%-10.7%
Median
typical MLS deal
$498,109-$1,418/mo2.9%-14.8%
125% of median
newer / premium
$622,637-$2,071/mo2.3%-17.4%

Price History

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$498,109
Down Payment (20%)$99,622
Loan Amount$398,487
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,836
Monthly P&I-$2,611
Est. Expenses (35%)-$643
Net Cash Flow-$1,418/mo
2.9%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-14.8%
Cash-on-Cash Return
4.42%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 2.9% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Run Full AnalysisTry House Hack Strategy

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
45/100
45
Cash Flow(30%)
36/100

Based on 4.42% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
65/100

Based on 1.5% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
29/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Below-average rent-to-price ratio (4.42%)
  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$1,418/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 2.9% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
  • -High price-to-income ratio makes financing challenging

Economic Indicators

Population
173,225
Median Income
—
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
—
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
  • −You rely on FHA-style financing: prices are stretched relative to local incomes

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
Prince GeorgesMD
55$422,458$1,9855.64%HoldView
CarolineMD
53$320,470Est. pending—HoldView
TalbotMD
49$481,463$2,3335.82%HoldView
HowardMD
49$617,631$2,2354.34%HoldView
MontgomeryMD
48$603,381$2,2904.56%HoldView
CurrentCarrollMD
45$498,109$1,8364.42%Hold

The Bottom Line

HoldCarroll is a neutral market. Consider house hacking or targeting below-market deals.

Carroll County in Maryland scores 45/100, ranking #681 of 1,000 US counties (top 87%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $1418/month; the 4.42% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-1,418/mo
Cap Rate
2.9%
Cash-on-Cash
-14.8%

Related markets

Markets like Carroll with stronger cash flow

  • Talbot County for cash-flow rentals
  • Prince Georges County for cash-flow rentals
  • Montgomery County for cash-flow rentals

Cheaper alternatives to Carroll

  • Caroline County, lower entry price
  • Prince Georges County, lower entry price
  • Talbot County, lower entry price

Head-to-head comparisons

  • Carroll vs Montgomery for rentals
  • Carroll vs Talbot for rentals
  • Carroll vs Howard for rentals
All counties in Maryland →

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