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Market MapKentuckyHardin

Hardin County

KentuckyPopulation: 111,005
56
/100
Hold
#440 of 1,000 counties
#81 in Kentucky (120 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs Research·Independent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated May 11, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$245,407
Median Home Price
5% above national median
$1,257/mo
Median Rent
17% below national median
6.15%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 44% nationally
-$469
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $1,257/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$184,055-$148/mo5.3%-4.2%
Median
typical MLS deal
$245,407-$469/mo4.0%-10.0%
125% of median
newer / premium
$306,759-$791/mo3.2%-13.4%

Price History

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$245,407
Down Payment (20%)$49,081
Loan Amount$196,326
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,257
Monthly P&I-$1,286
Est. Expenses (35%)-$440
Net Cash Flow-$469/mo
4.0%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-10.0%
Cash-on-Cash Return
6.15%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 4.0% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Run Full AnalysisTry House Hack Strategy

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
56/100
56
Cash Flow(30%)
61/100

Based on 6.15% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
43/100

Based on -1.3% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
73/100

Price-to-income ratio of 3.8x. Lower ratios indicate more affordable markets.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Affordable relative to local incomes
  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Declining home values (-1.3% YoY)
  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$469/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 4.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
111,005
Median Income
$64,136
vs $57,059 national est.
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
3.8x
Moderately affordable

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
  • −You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
McLeanKY
60$152,820Est. pending—BuyView
MarshallKY
58$200,096Est. pending—HoldView
MadisonKY
57$276,671$9794.25%HoldView
CurrentHardinKY
56$245,407$1,2576.15%Hold
WarrenKY
56$286,155$1,2365.18%HoldView
BourbonKY
51$245,392Est. pending—HoldView

The Bottom Line

HoldHardin is a neutral market. Consider house hacking or targeting below-market deals.

Hardin County in Kentucky scores 56/100, ranking #440 of 1,000 US counties (top 58%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $469/month; the 6.15% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-469/mo
Cap Rate
4.0%
Cash-on-Cash
-10.0%

Related markets

Markets like Hardin with stronger cash flow

  • Warren County for cash-flow rentals
  • Madison County for cash-flow rentals

Cheaper alternatives to Hardin

  • McLean County, lower entry price
  • Marshall County, lower entry price
  • Bourbon County, lower entry price

Head-to-head comparisons

  • Hardin vs Warren for rentals
  • Hardin vs Madison for rentals
  • Hardin vs Marshall for rentals
All counties in Kentucky →

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