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Market MapAlaskaKenai Peninsula Borough

Kenai Peninsula Borough

AlaskaPopulation: 59,235
67
/100
Hold
#167 of 1,000 counties
#3 in Alaska (14 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs Research·Independent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated May 11, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$335,456
Median Home Price
44% above national median
$1,731/mo
Median Rent
15% above national median
6.19%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 43% nationally
-$634
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $1,731/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$251,592-$194/mo5.4%-4.0%
Median
typical MLS deal
$335,456-$634/mo4.0%-9.9%
125% of median
newer / premium
$419,320-$1,073/mo3.2%-13.3%

Price History

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$335,456
Down Payment (20%)$67,091
Loan Amount$268,365
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,731
Monthly P&I-$1,758
Est. Expenses (35%)-$606
Net Cash Flow-$634/mo
4.0%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-9.9%
Cash-on-Cash Return
6.19%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 4.0% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Run Full AnalysisTry House Hack Strategy

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
67/100
67
Cash Flow(30%)
62/100

Based on 6.19% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
91/100

Based on 6.7% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
64/100

Price-to-income ratio of 4.4x. Lower ratios indicate more affordable markets.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Strong price appreciation (+6.7% YoY)
  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$634/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 4.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
59,235
Median Income
$76,272
vs $57,059 national est.
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
4.4x
Moderately affordable

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +Appreciation buyers: YoY growth is meaningfully above the long-run average
  • +Patient holders willing to accept negative carry for equity gains
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
CurrentKenai Peninsula BoroughAK
67$335,456$1,7316.19%Buy
Ketchikan Gateway BoroughAK
67$381,504Est. pending—BuyView
Valdez Cordova BoroughAK
66$312,829Est. pending—BuyView
Petersburg BoroughAK
66$358,280Est. pending—BuyView
Wrangell BoroughAK
66$288,171Est. pending—BuyView
Haines BoroughAK
66$324,103Est. pending—BuyView

The Bottom Line

HoldKenai Peninsula Borough scores well overall, but a typical leveraged buy-and-hold loses $634/mo at current rates. Consider house hacking, value-add, or all-cash; otherwise a worse score with positive cash flow may be the better deal.

Kenai Peninsula Borough in Alaska scores 67/100, ranking #167 of 1,000 US counties (top 22%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $634/month; the 6.19% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-634/mo
Cap Rate
4.0%
Cash-on-Cash
-9.9%

Related markets

Cheaper alternatives to Kenai Peninsula Borough

  • Wrangell Borough, lower entry price
  • Valdez Cordova Borough, lower entry price
  • Haines Borough, lower entry price

Head-to-head comparisons

  • Kenai Peninsula Borough vs Ketchikan Gateway Borough for rentals
  • Kenai Peninsula Borough vs Valdez Cordova Borough for rentals
  • Kenai Peninsula Borough vs Petersburg Borough for rentals
All counties in Alaska →

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